格尔德•吉仁泽（Gerd Gigerenzer） 社会心理学家，德国柏林马普所(Max Planck Institute)人类发展研究中心主任，并在世界各国讲授风险课，教人们正确地认知风险和进行风险沟通，听他讲课的人有小学生以及杰出的医生、银行家、企业家和政治家。获得多个奖项，包括1991年的“美国科学促进会行为科学研究奖”和德国2002年度“科学书籍奖”。 他曾任美国芝加哥大学心理学教授和弗吉尼亚大学法学院客座教授。

An eye-opening look at the ways we misjudge risk every day and a guide to making better decisions with our money, health, and personal lives In the age of Big Data we often believe that our predictions about the future are better than ever before. But as risk expert Gerd Gigerenzer shows, the surprising truth is that in the real world, we often get better results by using simpl...(展开全部)

格尔德·吉仁泽（Gerd Gigerenzer），社会心理学家，德国柏林马普所（Max Planck Institute）人类发展研究中心主任，并在世界各国讲授风险课，教人们正确地认知风险和进行风险沟通，听他讲课的人有小学生以及杰出的医生、银行家、企业家和政治家。获得多个奖项，包括1991年的“美国科学促进会行为科学研究奖”和德国2002年度“科学书籍奖”。 他曾任美国芝加哥大学心理学教授和弗吉尼亚大学法学院客座教授。

在线阅读本书 We’ve all watched smart, experienced leaders make flawed—even catastrophic—decisions. How can the risks be reduced? And how can you be sure that you’re making the right decisions? In this fascinating and instructive book, Sydney Finkelstein, Jo Whitehead, and Andrew Campbell—each a distinguished expert on strategy and decision-making in large organisations - s...(展开全部)

在线阅读本书 We’ve all watched smart, experienced leaders make flawed—even catastrophic—decisions. How can the risks be reduced? And how can you be sure that you’re making the right decisions? In this fascinating and instructive book, Sydney Finkelstein, Jo Whitehead, and Andrew Campbell—each a distinguished expert on strategy and decision-making in large organisations - s...(展开全部)

How do people really make decisions? By drawing on prior experience and using a combination of intuition and analysis. We have all seen images of firefighters rescuing people from burning buildings and paramedics treating bombing victims. How do these individuals make the split-second decisions that save lives? Most studies of decision making, based on artificial tasks assigned...(展开全部)

Katie Carr is a good person. She recycles. She's against racism. She's a good doctor, a good mom, a good wife....well, maybe not that last one, considering she's having an affair and has just requested a divorce via cell phone. But who could blame her? For years her husband's been selfish, sarcastic, and underemployed, writing the "Angriest Man in Holloway" column for their loc...(展开全部)

尼克·霍恩比

Katie Carr is a good person. She recycles. She's against racism. She's a good doctor, a good mom, a good wife....well, maybe not that last one, considering she's having an affair and has just requested a divorce via cell phone. But who could blame her? For years her husband's been selfish, sarcastic, and underemployed, writing the "Angriest Man in Holloway" column for their loc...(展开全部)

尼克·霍恩比